Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.000154 0.000170 0.000188 0.000208 0.000231 0.000255 0.000284
2025-08-31 0.000119 0.000142 0.000168 0.000201 0.000242 0.000289 0.000351
2025-09-07 0.000101 0.000127 0.000159 0.000202 0.000257 0.000327 0.000424
2025-09-14 0.000090 0.000119 0.000155 0.000206 0.000276 0.000369 0.000506
2025-09-21 0.000079 0.000108 0.000146 0.000202 0.000282 0.000394 0.000567
2025-09-28 0.000070 0.000097 0.000136 0.000194 0.000281 0.000408 0.000613
2025-10-05 0.000064 0.000093 0.000133 0.000197 0.000295 0.000445 0.000696
2025-10-12 0.000061 0.000090 0.000133 0.000202 0.000312 0.000488 0.000795
2025-10-19 0.000056 0.000084 0.000127 0.000199 0.000317 0.000510 0.000862
2025-10-26 0.000052 0.000081 0.000126 0.000201 0.000330 0.000549 0.000961
2025-11-02 0.000049 0.000077 0.000121 0.000199 0.000335 0.000573 0.001037
2025-11-09 0.000046 0.000073 0.000118 0.000199 0.000343 0.000603 0.001128
2025-11-16 0.000042 0.000069 0.000114 0.000196 0.000347 0.000628 0.001214
2025-11-23 0.000039 0.000064 0.000108 0.000189 0.000344 0.000639 0.001275
2025-11-30 0.000036 0.000062 0.000105 0.000189 0.000354 0.000676 0.001397
2025-12-07 0.000035 0.000060 0.000105 0.000193 0.000370 0.000728 0.001559
2025-12-14 0.000032 0.000057 0.000101 0.000189 0.000372 0.000750 0.001657
2025-12-21 0.000030 0.000053 0.000095 0.000182 0.000365 0.000753 0.001712
2025-12-28 0.000029 0.000052 0.000095 0.000185 0.000378 0.000803 0.001885
2026-01-04 0.000028 0.000051 0.000095 0.000189 0.000397 0.000865 0.002102
2026-01-11 0.000026 0.000049 0.000092 0.000186 0.000399 0.000891 0.002226
2026-01-18 0.000025 0.000048 0.000092 0.000189 0.000413 0.000946 0.002440
2026-01-25 0.000024 0.000046 0.000089 0.000187 0.000417 0.000975 0.002588